Below is the 5PM update for Hurricane Dorian. A lot of uncertainty still remains with this storm. Hurricane Dorian is a Cat 1 currently, however it is anticipated to make landfall as a Category 4 hurricane. Local impacts are still very unclear at this point. We will continue to monitor and make preparations and encourage you to do the same.
The forecast update for Dorian does not introduce much track or intensity change, except for slowing down Dorian's approach to the the eastern Florida coast. Forecast confidence decreases dramatically after 72 hours. At this time it is unclear whether Dorian will enter the Gulf, move up the state of Florida, or remain in the extreme western Atlantic. All scenarios above remain a possibility and impacts would vary greatly based on each of the tracks. The absolute earliest we'd have the possibility of experiencing Tropical Storm force winds (primarily in gusts) would be Monday night, though this could change with the slowing trend of Dorian.