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Strong Thunderstorm Potential Tue Afternoon-Tue Night


A strong cold front will make its way through the panhandle bringing the potential for strong gusty winds, frequent lightning, heavy rain (widespread totals up to 3 inches, isolated amounts up to 5 inches) that could cause isolated flooding concerns, and the possibility of isolated tornadoes. The National Weather Service and the DEM Meteorology Unit will continue to monitor the progress of this front and the potential for severe weather. If you have additional questions you can call your local weather service office or call the state watch office and ask for a meteorologist.

Synopsis & Timing

A cold front will approach the local forecast area from the west Tuesday afternoon. Pre-frontal showers and thunderstorms will impact the local forecast area Tuesday afternoon through early Wednesday, with gradual clearing Wednesday afternoon.

A couple waves of rainfall are possible associated with this front. The first wave of showers and thunderstorms is expected Tuesday afternoon mainly across inland areas, with a few strong storms possible. The next wave of showers and thunderstorms is expected to cross the area Tuesday night from west to east ahead of the actual cold front. A few strong storms will be possible with this broken band of rainfall, with the greatest potential for strong storms across inland southeast Georgia and the Suwanee River Valley of northeast Florida Tuesday evening.

The line of thunderstorms is expected to weaken as it crosses the area after midnight Tuesday night, with only a low chance of thunderstorm activity Wednesday morning over land, with most of the thunderstorm activity pushing offshore of the Atlantic coast.

Potential Impacts

Thunderstorm Hazards: The main concern from storm storms will be gusty winds of 35-55 mph, as well as frequent lightning. Marine Hazards: Marginal small craft advisory conditions due to south winds near 20 kts will be possible over the offshore waters between 20-60NM from Altamaha Sound southward to Flagler Beach. Combined seas of 4-6 ft are expected...but occasional seas of 7-8 ft will be possible especially near and in the Gulf Stream.

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